KEPLER RETAIL MARKET INDEX (KRI) Monthly Summary – October

Positive Momentum for Australian Retail Heading into the Peak Trading Period

       Monthly KRI Summary

Discover key insights in the latest Australian Kepler Retail Market Index for October 2025.

Comparison Period: The following insights are based on comparing the four-week retail month of October this year (29th September – 26th October 2025) to the same period last year (30th September – 27th October 2024).

Foot Traffic Trends:

  • Passer-by traffic rose 1.5% YoY in October. Passer-by traffic has now been in growth for 3 consecutive months (+2.4% YoY over the last 3 months)
  • In-store traffic increased 0.3% YoY in October, reversing the steep decline of 4.9% YoY seen in September

Sales Conversion and Transactions Performance:

  • Sales conversion improved 0.6% YoY in October, a significant turnaround from the -2.5% YoY in September
  • As a result, transactions increased 0.9% YoY in October, a significant turnaround from the -7.3% YoY in September

Average Transaction Values (ATVs):

  • Average Transaction Values (ATVs) increased 2.6% YoY in October, although this was behind the 3-month average of +4.4% YoY

Sales Performance:

  • Sales grew 3.5% YoY in October, a significant improvement on the -1.9% YoY in September
  • Sales have now been in growth in 5 out of the last 6 months, providing positive momentum as we head into the critical peak trading period

About Kepler’s Retail Market Index 

  • Kepler’s Retail Market Index provides the most insightful and most timely view of retail industry performance across both Australia and New Zealand 
  • The index is based on anonymised data from Kepler’s Retail Foot Traffic Solution customers, primarily non-food specialty retailers 

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